Advanced MLB predictions powered by WAR, xFIP, wOBA, and cutting-edge sabermetrics. Statistical analysis built for serious bettors who trust the numbers over narratives.
Statistical analysis shows NL teams project for +4.2% higher collective WAR than AL teams heading into 2026. The Dodgers lead with 106.2 projected wins.
One hundred fifty years ago, the National League was founded. Now, statistical analysis reveals the Senior Circuit holds a tangible edge. ZiPS projections rank the Dodgers as baseball's best team for the fifth time in six years. NL teams project for +4.2% higher collective WAR than AL teams.
The Giants signed three-time batting champion Luis Arraez. His career 5.8% strikeout rate ranks lowest among active hitters. Models project 2.4-2.8 fWAR.
Shohei Ohtani won't pitch in the WBC. Our model now projects 5.2-6.0 fWAR pitching plus 5.8-6.4 fWAR hitting. Combined 11.0-12.4 total WAR ranks first in baseball.
Teams with early report dates historically show 0.3-0.5 better rotation ERA in April. Dodgers (Feb 13) rank last among contenders despite leading in rotation fWAR (18.4).
Harrison Bader's 2-year, $20.5M deal brings elite center field defense. Career +34 DRS projects to 1.8-2.2 dWAR annually. Giants now project for 81.3 wins.
Chivilli's raw 2.89 ERA becomes park-adjusted 2.42 ERA. His 94.6 mph fastball and 28.4% whiff rate project to improve at sea level. xFIP: 2.55-2.85.
Free MLB predictions and WAR-based analysis for serious bettors who trust the numbers over narratives.