About MLBPrediction.com
Data-driven baseball analytics. Model-generated predictions. Full transparency on every call we make.
Who We Are
MLBPrediction.com is a data-driven baseball analytics platform built for bettors who demand more than gut feelings and talking-head opinions. Founded by a team of baseball analysts and data scientists, we exist for one reason: to translate complex sabermetrics into actionable insights that give you a genuine edge.
We are not a touts service. We are not selling picks behind a paywall. We are an open analytics operation that publishes its methodology, tracks every prediction, and shows you exactly how we arrive at our numbers. Every model output is logged, timestamped, and graded publicly. If we get something wrong, you will see it right alongside the wins.
Our team brings together expertise in statistical modeling, machine learning, and years of baseball analysis. We combine the rigor of academic-level sabermetrics with the practical lens of the betting market, because the smartest analysis in the world means nothing if it cannot find inefficiencies where they actually exist.
Our Mission
Our mission is to bridge the gap between academic-level analytics and practical application for MLB bettors. Front offices spend millions on proprietary models and analytical departments. The average bettor gets recycled ESPN narratives and hype-driven content that moves the needle for nobody.
We believe every bettor deserves access to the same caliber of statistical tools used by major league front offices. That means real metrics like xFIP, SIERA, wOBA, wRC+, and Statcast data, applied in the context that actually matters to you: finding value in the betting market. We do not dumb it down, but we do make it accessible. Every concept we use is explained on this site, from our Advanced Stats Glossary to our deep-dive guides on individual metrics.
Our Methodology
Every prediction on this site is generated by a multi-module analytical framework, not intuition, not trends from a spreadsheet, and certainly not "feel." Our system integrates four core components:
Evaluates starters and bullpens using xFIP, SIERA, CSW%, and pitch-level Statcast data to project run suppression beyond what ERA tells you.
Projects run production through wOBA, barrel rate, wRC+, and platoon splits, accounting for how specific lineups match up against a given arm.
Adjusts projections for park factors, weather conditions, altitude, wind, temperature, and venue-specific run environment data.
Runs thousands of game simulations to generate win probabilities, projected run totals, and confidence intervals for every matchup.
For the full technical breakdown of how our system works, including the weighting of each module and how we calibrate for market efficiency, visit our Prediction Methodology page.
What Makes Us Different
We do not chase clicks with hot takes. We do not invent narratives to justify a play after the fact. Every prediction published on MLBPrediction.com is model-generated, tracked in real time, and graded publicly. No disappearing records. No edited timestamps. No convenient amnesia about the ones that lost.
Here is what separates us from the noise:
- ✓ Full Transparency: We publish our complete track record, wins and losses, with unit accounting and timestamps. Verify every call yourself.
- ✓ Model-First Approach: Predictions come from the model, not from a person deciding what "feels right." We follow the data even when it is uncomfortable.
- ✓ Educational Focus: We explain the HOW, not just the WHAT. Every metric, every concept, every methodology is documented across 70+ pages of free content.
- ✓ No Paywalls: Our analytics, methodology, and educational content are free. We believe access to quality information should not be gated behind a subscription.
- ✓ Accountability: When the model is wrong, we own it. We do not delete bad calls or pretend they did not happen. Our track record page tells the full story.
Our Content
MLBPrediction.com hosts over 70 pages of free educational and analytical content, covering every dimension of data-driven baseball betting. Our content library includes:
In-depth breakdowns of xFIP, wOBA, BABIP, barrel rate, SIERA, and every metric we use, written specifically for bettors.
From bankroll management to understanding market efficiency, our strategy content helps you think like a sharp, not a square.
Division predictions, win total projections, breakout team analysis, and free agency impact assessments, updated as rosters change.
During the season, we publish daily matchup breakdowns, pitching evaluations, and model-generated projections for every game on the board.
All content is updated regularly to reflect roster changes, injury developments, and new data as the season progresses. Start exploring from our Analytics Hub or our Advanced Stats Hub.
Contact
Have questions about our methodology, want to report an error, or just want to talk baseball analytics? We welcome the conversation.
Visit our Contact page to get in touch with the team.