2026 Spring Training Preview

Position battles, prospect debuts, and betting implications for the Cactus and Grapefruit League seasons.

Key Spring Training Dates

DateEventNotes
February 12Pitchers & Catchers ReportFirst official workout day
February 17Full Squad ReportsPosition players arrive
February 21Cactus/Grapefruit League OpensExhibition games begin
March 27Opening DayRegular season starts

Position Battles to Watch

New York Mets - Fifth Starter Competition

With the Mets investing $765 million in Juan Soto, every other roster decision becomes cost-effective. The fifth starter spot is wide open between Jose Butto, Christian Scott, and minor league signing Michael Wacha.

The Favorites

Christian Scott (if healthy) showed elite stuff in 2025 before injury. Jose Butto has the experience edge with 18 starts last year. Wacha is veteran insurance.

BETTING ANGLE: Mets' over/under hinges on rotation depth. If Scott claims the spot healthy, lean OVER 91.5 wins.

Baltimore Orioles - Outfield Shuffle

Pete Alonso slots in at first base, but acquiring Taylor Ward creates a crowded outfield. Cedric Mullins, Anthony Santander, Colton Cowser, and Ward can't all play every day. Someone gets traded or platooned.

The Competition

Cedric Mullins returns from injury looking to reclaim center. Cowser had a breakout 2025. Ward brings the lefty bat they needed. Someone sits or gets moved.

BETTING ANGLE: Watch for a spring training trade. If Mullins moves, O's offensive ceiling drops. Current win total of 90.5 is priced assuming full strength.

Toronto Blue Jays - Catching Dilemma

After losing Danny Jansen to free agency, the Blue Jays need to find a catcher. Brian Serven and Alejandro Kirk will compete, with Kirk's bat being the deciding factor if he can stay healthy.

The Stakes

Alejandro Kirk can hit but fitness remains a question. Brian Serven is a defense-first backup. Toronto may need to add a catcher if Kirk can't handle the workload.

BETTING ANGLE: Kirk's spring conditioning will be telling. If he shows up in shape, Blue Jays become an OVER play on 86.5 wins.

Top Prospects Making Camp Debuts

Every spring training features prospects fighting for roster spots or auditioning for mid-season call-ups. These are the names that could impact 2026 fantasy and betting markets:

Ethan Salas
San Diego Padres - C

The 18-year-old phenom won't make the Opening Day roster, but his development will be monitored closely. Any positive spring buzz affects Padres' futures.

Sebastian Walcott
Texas Rangers - SS

The Rangers' top prospect could push for a spot if he shows he can handle major league pitching. Watch his spring strikeout rate.

Jace Jung
Detroit Tigers - 2B

After dominating Triple-A, Jung is the favorite to win Detroit's second base job. His bat is ready; only his glove is in question.

Colson Montgomery
Chicago White Sox - SS

The rebuild continues in Chicago, and Montgomery's glove and bat could both play in the majors this year. Spring training will determine if it's April or June.

Roman Anthony
Boston Red Sox - OF

Boston's top hitting prospect could force his way into the outfield mix. If he rakes in spring, the Red Sox have a decision to make.

Roki Sasaki
Los Angeles Dodgers - SP

The Japanese sensation signed with LA and will get a full spring training look. His impact on the Dodgers' already-loaded rotation could be historic.

Spring Training Betting Strategy

Why Spring Results Barely Matter for Regular Season Bets

Every year, bettors overreact to spring training results. A team that goes 22-8 in exhibition games gets hyped as a contender; a team that goes 10-20 gets written off. The data tells a different story.

Spring training records have virtually zero correlation with regular season performance. Teams rest their best players, try new things, and prioritize player development over wins. The 2024 Dodgers went 14-16 in spring training before winning 98 games and the World Series.

What DOES Matter from Spring Training

Injuries

This is the only spring training factor that consistently moves regular season lines. A torn UCL in March changes everything. Track injury reports daily in February-March.

Position Battle Winners

When a team hands a key role to an unknown, pay attention. Christian Scott winning the Mets' fifth starter job has different implications than Michael Wacha.

New Player Integration

How quickly do big offseason acquisitions gel? Juan Soto's comfort level in the Mets' lineup, Dylan Cease's command in Toronto - these intangibles matter.

Best Markets to Watch During Spring

Win Totals: Lines move during spring training based on news. If you have conviction on an OVER or UNDER, consider betting before camp if you expect good/bad news to shift the number.

Division Futures: Spring injuries can create value on division underdogs. One major injury to an AL East contender could make +800 Rays or +1200 Blue Jays worth a look.

MVP/Cy Young Futures: These markets are most efficient in March. Get your bets in before the season when the public hasn't yet overreacted to April performances.