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Orioles-Angels Trade Analytics: Rodriguez for Ward

Published: January 20, 2026

In November 2025, the Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Angels completed a significant one-for-one swap: outfielder Taylor Ward for right-hander Grayson Rodriguez. Here's our complete analytical breakdown of what both teams gained and lost.

The Trade

Orioles Receive

Taylor Ward, OF
Age 31, 1 year control

Angels Receive

Grayson Rodriguez, RHP
Age 26, 4 years control

Taylor Ward Analysis

Taylor Ward - Outfielder

Ward hit career bests in 2025: 36 HR, 103 RBI, 31 doubles. He slashed .228/.320/.450 with a .792 OPS. Entering his final year of arbitration, he agreed to a $12.175M salary for 2026.
2025 HR
36
2025 RBI
103
2025 OPS
.792
Proj WAR
2.4

Grayson Rodriguez Analysis

Grayson Rodriguez - RHP

The #11 overall pick in 2018, Rodriguez showed promise in his first two big league seasons (4.11 ERA, 259 K in 238.2 IP). However, elbow issues forced him to miss all of 2025 after debridement surgery. He's expected to be ready for spring training 2026.
2023-24 ERA
4.11
2023-24 K
259
Control
4 yrs
Upside WAR
3.5+

WAR Impact Analysis

For Baltimore, this trade addresses an immediate need but creates long-term questions. Ward provides +2.4 projected WAR for 2026, giving the Orioles a proven bat in their outfield. However, they lose Rodriguez's four years of team control and significant upside.

For the Angels, the math is simple: Rodriguez has three additional years of control compared to Ward, and if healthy, his ceiling is much higher. The Angels saved roughly $13M in 2026 salary while acquiring a potential frontline starter.

Trade Grade

Orioles: B- - Ward fills a need, but giving up four years of Rodriguez for one year of Ward is risky.

Angels: A- - High upside acquisition with cost savings. Rodriguez slots into their rotation alongside Kikuchi, Soriano, and Detmers.

Long-Term Implications

The Orioles are clearly in win-now mode, sacrificing future rotation depth for immediate production. If Ward has a monster 2026 and Baltimore makes a deep playoff run, the trade looks brilliant. If Rodriguez becomes an ace in Anaheim while Ward walks in free agency, it could haunt them for years.

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